FanBoardHQ

Sam Houston

Sam Houston State University · 2025 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#133
Efficiency
-26.8
135th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 12
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Sam Houston went 2-10 and was ranked 133rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 122nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 135th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 138th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 78th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-4
Q4
2-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
131st
-8.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
113th
full season
113th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
109th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ Western KentuckyConference USA#68L 2441-23.60%-17.5Q3
1vs UNLVMountain West#55L 2138-26.80%-20.8Q3
2@ Hawai'iMountain West#63L 2037-25.00%-18.1Q3
4@ TexasSEC#14L 055-45.00%-33.3Q1
6@ New Mexico StateConference USA#119L 1037-14.70%-37.0Q4
7vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#83L 2729-15.10%-12.5Q4
8vs UTEPConference USA#132L 1735-7.20%-34.4Q4
10@ Louisiana TechConference USA#75L 1455-25.20%-48.4Q3
11@ Oregon StatePac-12#127W 2117-16.0100%-11.4Q4
12vs DelawareConference USA#98W 2623-11.5100%-12.3Q4
13@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#129L 1731-9.40%-35.4Q4
14vs FIUConference USA#89L 1656-14.60%-40.2Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Sam Houston, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-44.5-24.2-3.9-18-21-18-33-37-13-34-48-11-12-35-40Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 138th
SR 135thYPP 138thEPA 136th
RushingEff 78th
SR 76thYPP 77thEPA 76th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 137th
SR 137thYPP 138thEPA 136th
Rush defenseEff 132nd
SR 134thYPP 129thEPA 128th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo -6.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 93rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 50%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 49%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 28%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 37.0Q1 · Allowed: 108.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 50.0Q2 · Allowed: 103.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 55.0Q3 · Allowed: 76.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 45.0Q4 · Allowed: 124.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSam HoustonOffenseDefense
Sam Houston Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 122nd
-9.4
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -8.1
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -8.1= -9.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 110th · Finishing 123rd

Defensive EffRanked 135th
-15.3
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: -13.6
Field position -1.7Finishing drives -13.6= -15.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 117th · Finishing 135th

1.31 points per drive on offense, 2.75 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(182)54% / 46%36%4.9
Q2(186)61% / 39%39%5.1
Q3(159)50% / 50%43%6.7
Q4(226)62% / 38%34%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)10.150%5.4
2nd(136)8.933%4.1
3rd(116)9.320%3.7
4th(22)7.432%6.0
All (430)36%4.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(169)10.040%5.1
2nd(100)7.839%5.2
3rd(42)6.443%7.5
4th(12)3.442%8.0
All (323)40%5.5

Sam Houston, all games.